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2024-12-13 16:54:09

The three major stock indexes all fell more than 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1%, the Shenzhen Composite Index fell 1.28%, the Growth Enterprise Market Index fell 1.49%, and more than 4,100 stocks in the whole market fell.Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".


Yin Xiyue continued to exercise the presidential power to submit the consent of the appointment of the chief justice to the National Assembly. According to the information system of the Korean National Assembly's motion, South Korean President Yin Xiyue submitted the consent of the appointment of the chief justice to the National Assembly on the 12 th, and said that "with the end of the term of office of the chief justice, in order to appoint a successor judge, the consent of the National Assembly is requested." Yin Xiyue delivered a speech to the people on the 12th, refused to end his term of office ahead of schedule, and successively approved 42 bills and enforcement orders, and also submitted a consent case for the appointment of the chief justice to continue to exercise the presidential power. According to the Korean Constitution, the Chief Justice shall be submitted by the President of the Grand Court of Korea (the High Court) and appointed by the President with the consent of the National Assembly. (CCTV News)Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.


The 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission was held in Seoul, South Korea. On the 12th, Vice Minister of Commerce Li Fei co-chaired the 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission with Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jiang Renxian in Seoul, South Korea. The two sides exchanged views on deepening China-ROK industrial chain supply chain, trade and investment, regional and multilateral cooperation, pragmatically promoted related matters, and reached broad consensus.The 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission was held in Seoul, South Korea. On the 12th, Vice Minister of Commerce Li Fei co-chaired the 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission with Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jiang Renxian in Seoul, South Korea. The two sides exchanged views on deepening China-ROK industrial chain supply chain, trade and investment, regional and multilateral cooperation, pragmatically promoted related matters, and reached broad consensus.The Japanese side hyped China's threat to return to the old road of military expansion. Recently, Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao delivered a policy address saying that Chinese aircraft carriers sailed in the waters close to Japan's territorial waters, and carrier-based aircraft conducted thousands of take-off and landing trainings in the Pacific Ocean; Based on the national security strategy, Japan will greatly strengthen its defense forces. In this regard, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said that the Japanese side's hype about the so-called "China military threat" was just to cover up its usual trick of getting rid of the shackles of the peaceful constitution and taking the old road of military expansion again. As a matter of fact, the diplomatic and defense departments of China and Japan have been maintaining communication on air and sea security issues. There is absolutely no need for the Japanese side to be jittery and nervous. (CCTV)

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